Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Espanol
23.9%
Draw
28.3%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Espanol
vs
1.32
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
4.9%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).