Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.2%
Doncaster
21.7%
Draw
22.1%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Doncaster
vs
0.98
Accrington
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).