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DHT: 11CSV

11 May 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.6%
Stockport
24.0%
Draw
14.3%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

1.82

Stockport

vs
0.77

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.8%
2-0
12.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).