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AHT: 12CSV

16 Feb 2025 · 16:15

Nice

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.3%
Le Havre
27.9%
Draw
38.7%
Nice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Le Havre

vs
1.13

Nice

Markets

BTTS42.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).