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26 May 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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92.2%
Fenerbahce
6.5%
Draw
1.3%
Istanbulspor

Expected Goals (xG)

3.91

Fenerbahce

vs
0.53

Istanbulspor

Markets

BTTS41.2%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.594.2%
Over 2.582.0%
Over 3.564.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.7%
4-0
11.5%
2-0
9.0%
5-0
9.0%
3-1
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
5-1
4.8%
1-0
4.0%
1-1
3.1%
0-0
1.8%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).