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AHT: 03CSV

18 Dec 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.0%
Stranraer
29.7%
Draw
56.3%
Kelty Hearts

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Stranraer

vs
1.53

Kelty Hearts

Markets

BTTS40.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.1%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
2.6%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).