⚽ FootballData
3 – 3
DHT: 11CSV

01 Dec 2023 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
43.5%
Hatayspor
30.1%
Draw
26.4%
Antalyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Hatayspor

vs
1.25

Antalyaspor

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
0-1
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).