Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Ross County
30.0%
Draw
27.9%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Ross County
vs
0.99
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).