Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Boavista
26.8%
Draw
38.7%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Boavista
vs
1.22
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).