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AHT: 11CSV

02 Mar 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.3%
Oviedo
27.1%
Draw
23.6%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Oviedo

vs
0.87

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).