⚽ FootballData
0 – 2
AHT: 00CSV

11 Feb 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
14.0%
Wurzburger Kickers
22.5%
Draw
63.6%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
2.01

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.6%
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.8%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).