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AHT: 02CSV

02 Apr 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.8%
Aldershot
21.4%
Draw
26.8%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

2.25

Aldershot

vs
1.60

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS72.1%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-2
5.2%
1-0
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).