Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.2%
Hamburg
10.5%
Draw
4.3%
Regensburg
Expected Goals (xG)
3.21
Hamburg
vs
0.69
Regensburg
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.2%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
5-0
5.8%
1-1
4.9%
5-1
4.0%
3-2
2.6%
0-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).