Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.8%
Erzgebirge Aue
18.3%
Draw
70.9%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
2.41
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.541.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.9%
1-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).