Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.5%
Karlsruhe
22.7%
Draw
37.8%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Karlsruhe
vs
1.89
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS73.5%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-1
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
2-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).