Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Virtus Entella
32.1%
Draw
22.5%
Cittadella
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Virtus Entella
vs
0.79
Cittadella
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
14.2%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).