Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Genoa
26.2%
Draw
49.6%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Genoa
vs
1.45
Roma
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
9.8%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).