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11 Feb 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.1%
Osnabruck
32.1%
Draw
31.9%
Hansa Rostock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Osnabruck

vs
1.04

Hansa Rostock

Markets

BTTS44.7%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).