Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Charleroi
22.1%
Draw
14.7%
Mouscron
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Charleroi
vs
0.84
Mouscron
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).