Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Sønderjyske Fodbold
21.8%
Draw
18.9%
Fredericia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Sønderjyske Fodbold
vs
1.15
Fredericia
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.2%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).