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26 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
Wolves
29.6%
Draw
19.1%
Leicester

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Wolves

vs
0.83

Leicester

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).