Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.3%
Avellino
25.8%
Draw
53.9%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Avellino
vs
1.74
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).