Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Cheltenham
24.9%
Draw
29.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Cheltenham
vs
1.14
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).