Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Grimsby
25.0%
Draw
36.0%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Grimsby
vs
1.30
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).