Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
St Mirren
31.1%
Draw
39.7%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
St Mirren
vs
1.16
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).