Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.8%
Milan
15.9%
Draw
8.3%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Milan
vs
0.62
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).