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12 Jul 2020 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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6.6%
Ankaragucu
20.0%
Draw
73.4%
Galatasaray

Expected Goals (xG)

0.64

Ankaragucu

vs
2.33

Galatasaray

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.8%
0-3
10.8%
0-1
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
6.3%
1-4
4.1%
0-5
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
2-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).