Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.3%
Galatasaray
9.6%
Draw
2.1%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
3.37
Galatasaray
vs
0.54
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.8%
2-0
11.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
2-1
6.2%
4-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
3.9%
0-0
2.9%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).