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12 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.3%
Standard
31.7%
Draw
39.0%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Standard

vs
1.09

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS40.1%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).