Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Vallecano
31.3%
Draw
43.0%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Vallecano
vs
1.10
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.528.8%
Over 3.512.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.0%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).