Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Leicester
17.9%
Draw
73.3%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Leicester
vs
2.48
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
0-3
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
6.0%
0-0
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
3.0%
0-5
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).