Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Newton Aycliffe
18.9%
Draw
52.2%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Newton Aycliffe
vs
2.41
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS75.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.578.9%
Over 3.560.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
2-3
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
1-4
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).