Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Elche
25.9%
Draw
21.0%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Elche
vs
0.84
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).