Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.9%
Doncaster
26.7%
Draw
30.4%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Doncaster
vs
1.05
Exeter
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).