Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Ashton Athletic
23.6%
Draw
47.2%
Wingate & Finchley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Ashton Athletic
vs
1.64
Wingate & Finchley
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).