Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Carlisle
24.3%
Draw
35.0%
Bristol Rvs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Carlisle
vs
1.24
Bristol Rvs
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).