Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.9%
Zenit
22.7%
Draw
12.5%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Zenit
vs
0.78
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).