Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.8%
Falkirk
12.4%
Draw
7.8%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
3.21
Falkirk
vs
1.00
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.579.1%
Over 3.560.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
6.6%
1-1
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
4.2%
3-2
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).