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03 Oct 2021 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Pordenone
30.2%
Draw
37.9%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Pordenone

vs
1.26

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).