Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Hertha
29.9%
Draw
25.9%
Bielefeld
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Hertha
vs
0.94
Bielefeld
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).