Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Dresden
24.1%
Draw
19.6%
Wurzburger Kickers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Dresden
vs
1.06
Wurzburger Kickers
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).