Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Dunfermline
29.7%
Draw
50.6%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Dunfermline
vs
1.52
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.0%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.5%
0-4
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).