Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
St Pauli
21.2%
Draw
11.0%
Wehen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
St Pauli
vs
0.72
Wehen
Markets
BTTS45.6%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).