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AHT: 01CSV

05 May 2018

AEK

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.3%
Apollon
13.6%
Draw
83.1%
AEK

Expected Goals (xG)

0.35

Apollon

vs
2.44

AEK

Markets

BTTS27.6%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
18.2%
0-3
14.9%
0-1
14.4%
0-4
9.1%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
1-1
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
0-5
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
1-0
1.7%
1-5
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).