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25 Oct 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.7%
Oldham
26.8%
Draw
21.5%
Shrewsbury

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Oldham

vs
0.77

Shrewsbury

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.9%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.5%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).