Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Charlton
33.8%
Draw
32.7%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Charlton
vs
0.96
Watford
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
0-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).