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12 May 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Konyaspor
36.5%
Draw
30.8%
Samsunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.08

Konyaspor

vs
1.05

Samsunspor

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.584.7%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).