Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Morecambe
22.6%
Draw
62.5%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Morecambe
vs
1.70
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).