Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Perugia
28.9%
Draw
41.2%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Perugia
vs
1.40
Pisa
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).