Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Wrexham
18.8%
Draw
8.1%
Chorley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Wrexham
vs
0.60
Chorley
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.8%
1-0
13.0%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
5-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).